I can finally justify buying a Lotus, but I am a little perplexed at how well the values for used Lotuses are holding up. It is not my intention to make any enemies with this post, I'm simply looking for guidance on whether buying used v. new makes sense. Why are the Elise values holding up so well compared to other sports cars?
Currently it seems like '05s with few options under 25-30K miles are selling or at least listing in the low to mid $20k's judging from Ebay and this board. We'll call it $24K. However, the new Purist edition that is rolling out later this year is MSRP ~ $44K and the current Elise starts at ~$48K. So after 5 years of ownership, the average annual depreciation is +/- $4K compared to the Purist. This sounds like a good deal at less than $350/mo of depreciation cost excluding time value of money or anything like that.
Then, I compare this with the BMW M3 convertible lease residuals which isn't a perfect comparable, but in Nov. 2008 if you bought the new '09 the residual on a 5 year lease was 32% of MSRP! (granted, they add back 3% for driving less than 10K mile per year, and as of June 2009 it is still 32% residual for the remaining 09s but you probably get a nice discount for taking one of those.) The Porsche Boxter 60 mo. residual as of last August was 34-37% of residual depending on the model. This compares with ~ 50% implied residual value on a bare bones Elise. (Sources below)
This brings me to my question - what gives? It seems like a clear value play to buy new given my perceived current market value of 2005 Elises.
Thanks in advance for the feedback,
Doug
BMW Auto Lease Rates - November 2008 - bimmerfest - BMW Forums
'08 Porsche Boxster Lease Rates - 8/08 - Financing/Leasing Message Board
Porsche Cayman Auto Lease Rates - January 2009 - Planet Porsche
Currently it seems like '05s with few options under 25-30K miles are selling or at least listing in the low to mid $20k's judging from Ebay and this board. We'll call it $24K. However, the new Purist edition that is rolling out later this year is MSRP ~ $44K and the current Elise starts at ~$48K. So after 5 years of ownership, the average annual depreciation is +/- $4K compared to the Purist. This sounds like a good deal at less than $350/mo of depreciation cost excluding time value of money or anything like that.
Then, I compare this with the BMW M3 convertible lease residuals which isn't a perfect comparable, but in Nov. 2008 if you bought the new '09 the residual on a 5 year lease was 32% of MSRP! (granted, they add back 3% for driving less than 10K mile per year, and as of June 2009 it is still 32% residual for the remaining 09s but you probably get a nice discount for taking one of those.) The Porsche Boxter 60 mo. residual as of last August was 34-37% of residual depending on the model. This compares with ~ 50% implied residual value on a bare bones Elise. (Sources below)
This brings me to my question - what gives? It seems like a clear value play to buy new given my perceived current market value of 2005 Elises.
Thanks in advance for the feedback,
Doug
BMW Auto Lease Rates - November 2008 - bimmerfest - BMW Forums
'08 Porsche Boxster Lease Rates - 8/08 - Financing/Leasing Message Board
Porsche Cayman Auto Lease Rates - January 2009 - Planet Porsche